Even after the AI bubble pops, even after Trump is done (for good) with starting more wars, trade or otherwise - we clearly have a “new normal” for prices.
I’m not a pessimist in that I do think consumer computing will survive and we will not end up in a subscription-compute-only future. Prices will eventually go back to getting lower over time.
But I am guessing this one-time extreme re-pricing due to Trump’s destruction of all consumer-focused price momentum, and the lack of AI regulation, have together cost us a decade before we’re back at price parity per compute/RAM/storage costs even despite technological advancements.
I agree that this isn’t the death of home computing. There’s Chinese companies that are just getting ready to mass produce ram. Between that and the AI bubble popping prices will eventually go back down
How hard can it be? It’s only the most complicated tech humans can build with one of the most sensitive supply chains, while the machines to build them are also skyrocketing in price while all the venture capital is being flushed down the toilet.
Also, if you break ground on your factory today with infinite resources, it’ll only take 5 years for you to get a product out the door that’s nearly as good as what the big guys put out 5 years ago.
Even after the AI bubble pops, even after Trump is done (for good) with starting more wars, trade or otherwise - we clearly have a “new normal” for prices.
I’m not a pessimist in that I do think consumer computing will survive and we will not end up in a subscription-compute-only future. Prices will eventually go back to getting lower over time.
But I am guessing this one-time extreme re-pricing due to Trump’s destruction of all consumer-focused price momentum, and the lack of AI regulation, have together cost us a decade before we’re back at price parity per compute/RAM/storage costs even despite technological advancements.
What makes you think whoever comes after trump wouldn’t start new wars? That sounds too optimistic of you
I agree that this isn’t the death of home computing. There’s Chinese companies that are just getting ready to mass produce ram. Between that and the AI bubble popping prices will eventually go back down
seems like an optimal time for startups to undercut the big guys
How hard can it be? It’s only the most complicated tech humans can build with one of the most sensitive supply chains, while the machines to build them are also skyrocketing in price while all the venture capital is being flushed down the toilet.
All so I can look at cat pictures and buttholes in HD.
What a time to live.
Don’t forget cat butthole pictures!
Yeah, the cost of entry is only like ten billion dollars, how hard can it be?
Also, if you break ground on your factory today with infinite resources, it’ll only take 5 years for you to get a product out the door that’s nearly as good as what the big guys put out 5 years ago.
Good thing there’s Chinese manufacturers that started that years ago and are just now starting to push more ram into the market
To fail or then be bought by meta if successful